NBA Offseason Winners & Losers: Betting Breakdown 🏀💸

Seven different champions in the past seven years — parity has never been higher. With OKC coming off their 2025 title, the big question is: who really boosted their odds this summer, and who took a step back? Using Estimated RAPTOR WAR, we dive into the offseason’s biggest winners and losers — and what it all means for your next bet.

📈 Offseason Winners

1. LA Clippers (+8.1 WAR)Moves: Added Chris Paul, Brook Lopez, Bradley Beal, John Collins.Take: Veteran depth and star power around Kawhi/PG makes the Clippers a sneaky futures play.

2. Houston Rockets (+5.1 WAR)Moves: Added Kevin Durant, Finney-Smith, Capela.Take: KD lifts their ceiling, but with FVV hurt, they’re high-risk, high-reward on the board.

3. Dallas Mavericks (+3.8 WAR)Moves: Drafted Cooper Flagg, added D’Angelo Russell.Take: A healthy AD and Kyrie, plus rookie hype, make Dallas an intriguing dark horse bet.

4. Brooklyn Nets (+3.0 WAR)Moves: Added Michael Porter Jr., Terance Mann.Take: Younger, deeper, and trending up — good value in win totals.

5. Charlotte Hornets (+2.0 WAR)Moves: Added Sexton, Dinwiddie, Plumlee.Take: Not title-ready, but could overperform spreads behind LaMelo & Bridges.

📉 Offseason Losers

30. Boston Celtics (-11.6 WAR)Lost Porziņģis, Holiday, Horford + Tatum’s injury.Take: From champs to stay-away bets. Big drop in futures value.

29. Phoenix Suns (-7.1 WAR)Traded Durant & Beal, added Green & Brooks.Take: A reset year. Don’t overpay on old name value.

28. Milwaukee Bucks (-5.6 WAR)Lost Dame & Lopez, added Myles Turner.Take: Giannis has less support — fade their title odds.

27. Cleveland Cavaliers (-5.4 WAR)Lost Okoro, added Lonzo.Take: Depth is thin, live bet volatility ahead.

26. Minnesota Timberwolves (-3.3 WAR)Lost NAW, not much else.Take: Small slip but in the West, every edge counts.

🔑 Betting Takeaway

Clippers & Rockets are the offseason’s big betting winners, while the Celtics and Suns slide hard. With parity at an all-time high, this season is shaping up to be another wild ride for bettors.